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Dagelijkse Markt Analyse 11 Januari 2019
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9 years 7 months ago #10518
by Jelle
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Replied by Jelle on topic Dagelijkse Markt Analyse 13 September 2016
DAGELIJKSE MARKT ANALYSE 13 SEPTEMBER 2016
- The British Pound was little changed versus other majors
- UK’s Core CPI at 1.3%, below expectations
- Headline CPI prints 0.6% year-on-year versus 0.7% expected
The British Pound was little changed versus other majors (at the time this report was written), after the UK’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) printed figures below expectations.
Initial price action saw a quick drop and a recovery for an overall slightly negative response.
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- The British Pound was little changed versus other majors
- UK’s Core CPI at 1.3%, below expectations
- Headline CPI prints 0.6% year-on-year versus 0.7% expected
The British Pound was little changed versus other majors (at the time this report was written), after the UK’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) printed figures below expectations.
Initial price action saw a quick drop and a recovery for an overall slightly negative response.
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9 years 7 months ago #10519
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Replied by Jelle on topic Dagelijkse Markt Analyse 14 September 2016
DAGELIJKSE MARKT ANALYSE 14 SEPTEMBER 2016
• Crude oil prices drop as IEA forecasts prolonged supply glut
• Gold prices decline amid rebuilding Fed rate hike speculation
• API data hints EIA inventory build may undershoot forecasts
Crude oil prices declined after the IEA said “supply will continue to outpace demand at least throughthe first half of next year” in its monthly report. The agency downgraded its 2017 global demand outlook by 200k b/d and said non-OPEC supply will rebound over the same period, projecting a gain of 380k b/d.
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• Crude oil prices drop as IEA forecasts prolonged supply glut
• Gold prices decline amid rebuilding Fed rate hike speculation
• API data hints EIA inventory build may undershoot forecasts
Crude oil prices declined after the IEA said “supply will continue to outpace demand at least throughthe first half of next year” in its monthly report. The agency downgraded its 2017 global demand outlook by 200k b/d and said non-OPEC supply will rebound over the same period, projecting a gain of 380k b/d.
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9 years 7 months ago #10520
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Replied by Jelle on topic Dagelijkse Markt Analyse 15 September 2016
DAGELIJKSE MARKT ANALYSE 15 SEPTEMBER 2016
- Bank of England (BoE) to Preserve Record-Low Interest Rate, GBP 435B in QE.
- Will BoE Governor Mark Carney Endorse a Wait-and-See Approach for Rest of 2016?
Trading the News: Bank of England Interest Rate Decision
The Bank of England (BoE) interest rate decision may trigger a short-squeeze in British Pound and generate a relief rally in GBP/USD should the central bank talk down bets for an imminent rate-cut.
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- Bank of England (BoE) to Preserve Record-Low Interest Rate, GBP 435B in QE.
- Will BoE Governor Mark Carney Endorse a Wait-and-See Approach for Rest of 2016?
Trading the News: Bank of England Interest Rate Decision
The Bank of England (BoE) interest rate decision may trigger a short-squeeze in British Pound and generate a relief rally in GBP/USD should the central bank talk down bets for an imminent rate-cut.
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9 years 7 months ago #10525
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Replied by Jelle on topic Dagelijkse Markt Analyse 16 September 2016
DAGELIJKSE MARKT ANALYSE 16 SEPTEMBER 2016
- U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) to Pick Up for First Time Since April.
- Core Rate of Inflation to Hold Steady at Annualized 2.2%.
A pickup in the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) may boost the appeal of the greenback and spark a near-term decline in EUR/USD should the report put pressure on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to raise the benchmark interest rate sooner rather than later.
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- U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) to Pick Up for First Time Since April.
- Core Rate of Inflation to Hold Steady at Annualized 2.2%.
A pickup in the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) may boost the appeal of the greenback and spark a near-term decline in EUR/USD should the report put pressure on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to raise the benchmark interest rate sooner rather than later.
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9 years 7 months ago #10527
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Replied by Jelle on topic Dagelijkse Markt Analyse 19 September 2016
DAGELIJKSE MARKT ANALYSE 19 SEPTEMBER 2016
• US Dollar corrects lower after Friday’s surge in the wake of firm CPI data
• Commodity currencies rise with S&P 500 futures as risk appetite recovers
• Overnight trends likely to carry forward but lasting follow-through unlikely
The US Dollar traded broadly lower overnight in a move that looked to be corrective following the surge triggered by better-than-expected CPI data on Friday. The yields- and sentiment-sensitive Australian, Canadian and New Zealand Dollars outperformed as S&P 500 futures rose and Treasury bond yields edged lower, seemingly reflecting moderation in the “hawkish Fed” narrative.
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• US Dollar corrects lower after Friday’s surge in the wake of firm CPI data
• Commodity currencies rise with S&P 500 futures as risk appetite recovers
• Overnight trends likely to carry forward but lasting follow-through unlikely
The US Dollar traded broadly lower overnight in a move that looked to be corrective following the surge triggered by better-than-expected CPI data on Friday. The yields- and sentiment-sensitive Australian, Canadian and New Zealand Dollars outperformed as S&P 500 futures rose and Treasury bond yields edged lower, seemingly reflecting moderation in the “hawkish Fed” narrative.
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9 years 6 months ago #10533
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Replied by Jelle on topic Dagelijkse Markt Analyse 20 September 2016
DAGELIJKSE MARKT ANALYSE 20 SEPTEMBER 2016
• Gold prices marking time at three-month range support
• Crude oil prices stall near $43/barrel figure once again
• Directional conviction unlikely before FOMC outcome
Gold prices continued to tread water near the $1300/oz figure at the start of the trading week. A lull in top-tier news-flow ahead of the on-coming FOMC monetary policy announcement appeared to undermine traders’ willingness to show directional conviction.
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• Gold prices marking time at three-month range support
• Crude oil prices stall near $43/barrel figure once again
• Directional conviction unlikely before FOMC outcome
Gold prices continued to tread water near the $1300/oz figure at the start of the trading week. A lull in top-tier news-flow ahead of the on-coming FOMC monetary policy announcement appeared to undermine traders’ willingness to show directional conviction.
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9 years 6 months ago #10538
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Replied by Jelle on topic Dagelijkse Markt Analyse 21 September 2016
DAGELIJKSE MARKT ANALYSE 21 SEPTEMBER 2016
- EUR/USD trades between 200, 500 day moving averages ahead of FOMC
- A hawkish Fed could weigh on the pair for more downside conviction
- EUR/USD Volatility measures extremely subdued
The EUR/USD has found support around the August lows and its 200-day SMA to start the trading day, as the pair continues its predominate sideways trading movement ahead of today’s key event risk.
The Fed Rate Decision is the huge event in front of us, and the FOMC outlook could shape the trend in the weeks (perhaps months) ahead.
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- EUR/USD trades between 200, 500 day moving averages ahead of FOMC
- A hawkish Fed could weigh on the pair for more downside conviction
- EUR/USD Volatility measures extremely subdued
The EUR/USD has found support around the August lows and its 200-day SMA to start the trading day, as the pair continues its predominate sideways trading movement ahead of today’s key event risk.
The Fed Rate Decision is the huge event in front of us, and the FOMC outlook could shape the trend in the weeks (perhaps months) ahead.
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9 years 6 months ago #10545
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Replied by Jelle on topic Dagelijkse Markt Analyse 22 September 2016
DAGELIJKSE MARKT ANALYSE 22 SEPTEMBER 2016
• Gold prices post largest gain in two weeks after FOMC rate decision
• Crude oil prices rise on EIA inventory drawdown, US Dollar decline
• Commodities at risk if Draghi, Carney comments stoke risk aversion
Gold prices posted the largest gain in two weeks following the FOMC monetary policy announcement. Investors seemingly opted to focus on a flattening of the projected rate-hike path despite unmistakably hawkish rhetoric from Fed Chair Yellen, who all but promised tightening in December (as expected). Crude oil prices also rose, buoyed by Fed-driven US Dollar weakness as well as a large inventory drawdown reported by the EIA.
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• Gold prices post largest gain in two weeks after FOMC rate decision
• Crude oil prices rise on EIA inventory drawdown, US Dollar decline
• Commodities at risk if Draghi, Carney comments stoke risk aversion
Gold prices posted the largest gain in two weeks following the FOMC monetary policy announcement. Investors seemingly opted to focus on a flattening of the projected rate-hike path despite unmistakably hawkish rhetoric from Fed Chair Yellen, who all but promised tightening in December (as expected). Crude oil prices also rose, buoyed by Fed-driven US Dollar weakness as well as a large inventory drawdown reported by the EIA.
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9 years 6 months ago #10561
by Jelle
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Replied by Jelle on topic Dagelijkse Markt Analyse 23 September 2016
DAGELIJKSE MARKT ANALYSE 23 SEPTEMBER 2016
- USD/CAD finding support around 1.30 following four days of consecutive declines
- Canada CPI figures headline the economic calendar today
- “Fed-speak” and Baker Hughes also on the docket for potential influences
The USD/CAD found some support around the big 1.30 figure following four days of consecutive declines, as the Fed opted to keep monetary policy unchanged and Crude Oil prices gained in recent days.
Looking ahead, Canada CPI data headlines the economic docket but “Fed-speak” and Baker Hughes are also in focus.
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- USD/CAD finding support around 1.30 following four days of consecutive declines
- Canada CPI figures headline the economic calendar today
- “Fed-speak” and Baker Hughes also on the docket for potential influences
The USD/CAD found some support around the big 1.30 figure following four days of consecutive declines, as the Fed opted to keep monetary policy unchanged and Crude Oil prices gained in recent days.
Looking ahead, Canada CPI data headlines the economic docket but “Fed-speak” and Baker Hughes are also in focus.
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9 years 6 months ago #10562
by Jelle
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Replied by Jelle on topic Dagelijkse Markt Analyse 26 September 2016
DAGELIJKSE MARKT ANALYSE 26 SEPTEMBER 2016
• Yen gains as BOJ, Deutsche Bank drive broad-based risk aversion
• Brexit-linked news flow pulls Pound into wider risk on/off dynamics
• Comments from ECB’s Draghi, Fed officials compound negativity
The Japanese Yen outperformed in overnight trade as stocks slumped in Asian trade, offering support for the anti-risk currency. The deterioration in investors’ mood began to gain momentum after a speech by Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda. The central bank head said pushing the interest rate on excess reserves deeper into negative territory will be the main tool to increase easing under the BOJ’s new policy regime. The markets have been skeptical of the approach since it was introduced earlier in the year.
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• Yen gains as BOJ, Deutsche Bank drive broad-based risk aversion
• Brexit-linked news flow pulls Pound into wider risk on/off dynamics
• Comments from ECB’s Draghi, Fed officials compound negativity
The Japanese Yen outperformed in overnight trade as stocks slumped in Asian trade, offering support for the anti-risk currency. The deterioration in investors’ mood began to gain momentum after a speech by Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda. The central bank head said pushing the interest rate on excess reserves deeper into negative territory will be the main tool to increase easing under the BOJ’s new policy regime. The markets have been skeptical of the approach since it was introduced earlier in the year.
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9 years 6 months ago #10563
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Replied by Jelle on topic Dagelijkse Markt Analyse 27 September 2016
DAGELIJKSE MARKT ANALYSE 27 SEPTEMBER 2016
• Yen drops, commodity Dollars rally amid broad risk appetite recovery
• S&P 500 futures rise, hinting risk-on mood to continue in the near term
• US Dollar may not see lasting follow-through on Services PMI survey
The anti-risk Japanese Yen underperformed while the sentiment-linked Australian, Canadian and New Zealand Dollar rallied in overnight trade as Asian stocks recovered after yesterday’s decline. Regional shares added close to 1 percent on average after the MSCI Asia Pacific benchmark gauge fell 0.8 percent – the most in two weeks – in yesterday’s session.
Rest van het artikel
• Yen drops, commodity Dollars rally amid broad risk appetite recovery
• S&P 500 futures rise, hinting risk-on mood to continue in the near term
• US Dollar may not see lasting follow-through on Services PMI survey
The anti-risk Japanese Yen underperformed while the sentiment-linked Australian, Canadian and New Zealand Dollar rallied in overnight trade as Asian stocks recovered after yesterday’s decline. Regional shares added close to 1 percent on average after the MSCI Asia Pacific benchmark gauge fell 0.8 percent – the most in two weeks – in yesterday’s session.
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9 years 6 months ago #10564
by Jelle
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Replied by Jelle on topic Dagelijkse Markt Analyse 28 September 2016
DAGELIJKSE MARKT ANALYSE 28 SEPTEMBER 2016
• Gold prices drop most in a month as Deutsche Bank shares bounce
• Hawkish Fed-speak may boost US Dollar, pressure gold still lower
• Crude oil prices stuck in choppy range as OPEC meeting continues
Gold prices plunged yesterday, falling alongside the TED spread measure of credit risk as shares in Deutsche Bank recovered after a steep intraday loss. The lender has faced heavy pressure recently amid fears that paying a $14 billion fine sought by US regulators will dangerously deplete the firm’s capital. Indeed, the IMF has said Deutsche is the single biggest source of systemic risk in the global banking system. The Euro fell alongside the yellow metal, seemingly reflecting a deflating premium on cash.
Rest van het artikel
• Gold prices drop most in a month as Deutsche Bank shares bounce
• Hawkish Fed-speak may boost US Dollar, pressure gold still lower
• Crude oil prices stuck in choppy range as OPEC meeting continues
Gold prices plunged yesterday, falling alongside the TED spread measure of credit risk as shares in Deutsche Bank recovered after a steep intraday loss. The lender has faced heavy pressure recently amid fears that paying a $14 billion fine sought by US regulators will dangerously deplete the firm’s capital. Indeed, the IMF has said Deutsche is the single biggest source of systemic risk in the global banking system. The Euro fell alongside the yellow metal, seemingly reflecting a deflating premium on cash.
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9 years 6 months ago #10569
by Jelle
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Replied by Jelle on topic Dagelijkse Markt Analyse 29 September 2016
DAGELIJKSE MARKT ANALYSE 29 SEPTEMBER 2016
• Yen sinks as OPEC output cut deal boosts market-wide risk appetite
• Euro unlikely to find meaningful support in German inflation uptick
• US Dollar may rise as Fed-speak, GDP revision boost rate hike bets
The Japanese Yen plunged as stocks soared in Asian trade, undermining demand for the anti-risk currency. Energy shares led the way higher after OPEC agreed on the outlines of a deal to cap output in a range of 32.5-33 million barrels per day. Implementation details – including the assignment of output targets for individual cartel members – remain undecided and will be addressed at the group’s meeting in November.
Rest van het artikel
• Yen sinks as OPEC output cut deal boosts market-wide risk appetite
• Euro unlikely to find meaningful support in German inflation uptick
• US Dollar may rise as Fed-speak, GDP revision boost rate hike bets
The Japanese Yen plunged as stocks soared in Asian trade, undermining demand for the anti-risk currency. Energy shares led the way higher after OPEC agreed on the outlines of a deal to cap output in a range of 32.5-33 million barrels per day. Implementation details – including the assignment of output targets for individual cartel members – remain undecided and will be addressed at the group’s meeting in November.
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9 years 6 months ago #10572
by Jelle
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Replied by Jelle on topic Dagelijkse Markt Analyse 30 September 2016
DAGELIJKSE MARKT ANALYSE 30 SEPTEMBER 2016
• US Dollar likely to join Yen on the upside as Deutsche Bank sours sentiment
• Aussie Dollar sinks as Asian, European shares follow Wall Street downward
• US PCE, Eurozone CPI may pass unnoticed as risk aversion grips markets
The sentiment-linked Australian Dollar underperformed overnight while the anti-risk Japanese Yen traded higher as risk aversion triggered in late Wall Street trade carried over onto Asian bourses. The rout was triggered after Bloomberg reported that about 10 hedge funds cut back their exposure to beleaguered German lender Deutsche Bank.
Rest van het artikel
• US Dollar likely to join Yen on the upside as Deutsche Bank sours sentiment
• Aussie Dollar sinks as Asian, European shares follow Wall Street downward
• US PCE, Eurozone CPI may pass unnoticed as risk aversion grips markets
The sentiment-linked Australian Dollar underperformed overnight while the anti-risk Japanese Yen traded higher as risk aversion triggered in late Wall Street trade carried over onto Asian bourses. The rout was triggered after Bloomberg reported that about 10 hedge funds cut back their exposure to beleaguered German lender Deutsche Bank.
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9 years 6 months ago #10575
by Jelle
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Replied by Jelle on topic Dagelijkse Markt Analyse 3 Oktober 2016
DAGELIJKSE MARKT ANALYSE 3 OKTOBER 2016
- UK Prime Minister Theresa May signals triggering of Article 50 by March 2017.
- Increasingly looking like a 'hard Brexit' is a likely outcome.
- See the DailyFX economic calendar for the week of October 2 to October 7.
The British Pound is back in the news due to its weak performance across the board today, after UK Prime Minister Theresa May outlined a more definitive timeline for the 'Brexit' over the weekend. The Great Repeal Bill, as it's purported to be called, will trigger the sever the tightly knit sovereign bonds forged those decades ago.
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- UK Prime Minister Theresa May signals triggering of Article 50 by March 2017.
- Increasingly looking like a 'hard Brexit' is a likely outcome.
- See the DailyFX economic calendar for the week of October 2 to October 7.
The British Pound is back in the news due to its weak performance across the board today, after UK Prime Minister Theresa May outlined a more definitive timeline for the 'Brexit' over the weekend. The Great Repeal Bill, as it's purported to be called, will trigger the sever the tightly knit sovereign bonds forged those decades ago.
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9 years 6 months ago #10576
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Replied by Jelle on topic Dagelijkse Markt Analyse 4 Oktober 2016
DAGELIJKSE MARKT ANALYSE 4 OKTOBER 2016
• DAX takes back all of its losses on Friday from key support
• Still no deal for Deutsche Bank, but market acting upbeat about the situation
• Overall, still no trend for the market, but bias upward; key levels in focus
After a day off to start the week, Germany is back to business as usual. On Friday, the DAX was taking a hit on escalating fears surrounding Deutsche Bank. News circulated early on Friday that the bank could have its settlement with the U.S. Department of Justice reduced from $14 billion to only $5.4 billion. Hopes of a much better than expected deal sent shares of Deutsche and the DAX rallying sharply to end the week.
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• DAX takes back all of its losses on Friday from key support
• Still no deal for Deutsche Bank, but market acting upbeat about the situation
• Overall, still no trend for the market, but bias upward; key levels in focus
After a day off to start the week, Germany is back to business as usual. On Friday, the DAX was taking a hit on escalating fears surrounding Deutsche Bank. News circulated early on Friday that the bank could have its settlement with the U.S. Department of Justice reduced from $14 billion to only $5.4 billion. Hopes of a much better than expected deal sent shares of Deutsche and the DAX rallying sharply to end the week.
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9 years 6 months ago #10577
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Replied by Jelle on topic Dagelijkse Markt Analyse 5 Oktober 2016
DAGELIJKSE MARKT ANALYSE 5 OKTOBER 2016
• Pound drops on “hard Brexit” fears before key UK PM May speech
• ISM and ADP data may feed Fed rate hike bets, boosting US Dollar
• NZ Dollar falls as milk price drop stokes RBNZ rate cut speculation
The British Pound traded lower as worries about a “hard Brexit” continued to swell ahead of a much-anticipated speech from Prime Minister Theresa May at the conclusion of the Conservative Party Conference in Birmingham. The UK unit has faced heavy selling pressure since the Premier hinted at an early-2017 timeline for starting the EU exit process and suggested that immigration controls will take precedence over securing access the single market over the weekend.
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• Pound drops on “hard Brexit” fears before key UK PM May speech
• ISM and ADP data may feed Fed rate hike bets, boosting US Dollar
• NZ Dollar falls as milk price drop stokes RBNZ rate cut speculation
The British Pound traded lower as worries about a “hard Brexit” continued to swell ahead of a much-anticipated speech from Prime Minister Theresa May at the conclusion of the Conservative Party Conference in Birmingham. The UK unit has faced heavy selling pressure since the Premier hinted at an early-2017 timeline for starting the EU exit process and suggested that immigration controls will take precedence over securing access the single market over the weekend.
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9 years 6 months ago #10579
by Jelle
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Replied by Jelle on topic Dagelijkse Markt Analyse 6 Oktober 2016
DAGELIJKSE MARKT ANALYSE 6 OKTOBER 2016
• Japanese Yen corrects higher after dropping to monthly low vs. majors
• Australian Dollar drops as RBA rate cut speculation cautiously rebuilds
• Markets may stall before US jobs data but Deutsche Bank risk remains
The Japanese Yen corrected broadly higher overnight in a move that looked corrective after the currency slid against all of its major counterparts for a second consecutive day, hitting the lowest level in a month. The Australian Dollar faced selling pressure, with prices tracking to front-end bond yields downward to suggest that returning RBA rate cut bets may have been behind the selloff. The priced-in probability of a cut at next month’s meeting is now 18 percent.
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• Japanese Yen corrects higher after dropping to monthly low vs. majors
• Australian Dollar drops as RBA rate cut speculation cautiously rebuilds
• Markets may stall before US jobs data but Deutsche Bank risk remains
The Japanese Yen corrected broadly higher overnight in a move that looked corrective after the currency slid against all of its major counterparts for a second consecutive day, hitting the lowest level in a month. The Australian Dollar faced selling pressure, with prices tracking to front-end bond yields downward to suggest that returning RBA rate cut bets may have been behind the selloff. The priced-in probability of a cut at next month’s meeting is now 18 percent.
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9 years 6 months ago - 9 years 6 months ago #10583
by Jelle
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Replied by Jelle on topic Dagelijkse Markt Analyse 7 Oktober 2016
DAGELIJKSE MARKT ANALYSE 7 OKTOBER 2016
- U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls to Expand Less Than 200K for Second Consecutive Month.
- Unemployment Rate to Hold Steady at Annualized 4.9% for Third Straight Month.
Trading the News: U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP)
Another 170K expansion in U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) may fuel the near-term strength in the greenback and spark a bearish reaction in EUR/USD as it boost bets for a December Fed rate-hike.
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- U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls to Expand Less Than 200K for Second Consecutive Month.
- Unemployment Rate to Hold Steady at Annualized 4.9% for Third Straight Month.
Trading the News: U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP)
Another 170K expansion in U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) may fuel the near-term strength in the greenback and spark a bearish reaction in EUR/USD as it boost bets for a December Fed rate-hike.
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9 years 6 months ago #10592
by Jelle
"All right. This one time I'll let you ask me about my affairs."
Replied by Jelle on topic Dagelijkse Markt Analyse 10 Oktober 2016
DAGELIJKSE MARKT ANALYSE 10 OKTOBER 2016
• Yen gains as US-listed Nikkei futures drop after remarks from BOJ’s Kuroda
• Canadian Dollar recovers following Russia-linked selloff alongside crude oil
• British Pound on the defensive as Brexit jitters remain following flash crash
The anti-risk Yen traded higher as US-listed Nikkei 225 futures declined in overnight trade. Japanese markets are closed for a holiday. The move may have followed comments from BOJ Governor Kuroda over the weekend, who said the central bank may delay hitting the inflation target until 2018. The comments may have stoked recent skepticism about the efficacy of the central bank’s stimulus efforts.
Rest van het artikel
• Yen gains as US-listed Nikkei futures drop after remarks from BOJ’s Kuroda
• Canadian Dollar recovers following Russia-linked selloff alongside crude oil
• British Pound on the defensive as Brexit jitters remain following flash crash
The anti-risk Yen traded higher as US-listed Nikkei 225 futures declined in overnight trade. Japanese markets are closed for a holiday. The move may have followed comments from BOJ Governor Kuroda over the weekend, who said the central bank may delay hitting the inflation target until 2018. The comments may have stoked recent skepticism about the efficacy of the central bank’s stimulus efforts.
Rest van het artikel
"All right. This one time I'll let you ask me about my affairs."
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